|A calm view of Manhasset Bay. A significant|
storm surge may happen here within 48 hours.
Photo by Bob Brinkmann.
Take a look at this map. You can play with different scenarios around the region.
So, I expect that some evacuation orders will be given for New York area some time today. I live on the water, and could survive a 7 foot storm surge without too much difficulty. However, we will probably have a mandatory evacuation given the risk for higher tides. Ninety percent of all hurricane related deaths are from storm surge, so this event has some serious risk for Long Island.